You Can't Appeal Your Way Out of This

SparkChange · Denial Rate Sidebar
claims denied while you've
been reading
0
per day
across commercial & government payers
providers reporting 10%+
denial rate
2022
30%
2024
38%
2025
41%
the gap in numbers
1,000+
claims/hr evaluated by payer AI
10–15
appeals/day per human reviewer
Weekly
payer AI retraining cycle
90%
of appealed denials eventually overturned
Experian Health, State of Claims 2025 — denial rate trend (30%, 38%, 41%) and AI adoption gap (67% vs ~5%).
HFMA Benchmarking Analysis — initial denial rates 10.15% (2020) to 11.99% (Q3 2023).
CMS / KFF Analysis — 90% of appealed Medicare Advantage denials overturned on appeal.

Written By Craig Mattson, Principal Architect

Payers are deploying AI at scale. Denial rates are rising. Coincidence?

Denial rates across commercial and government payers are climbing, and the pace is not slowing down. This is not an accident or a side effect. Payers have built infrastructure specifically designed to deny faster, more consistently, and at a scale no human review process can keep up with. AI didn't create the incentive to deny. It just removed the bottleneck.

For providers, the math is brutal. More denials mean more appeals, more appeals mean more people and more hours spent chasing money that was already earned. The industry knows this. What it hasn't done is clearly name the deeper problem.

The Current Response Isn't Working

Given how the industry has always responded, the instinct has been to add more staff, more processes, and more appeals. That made sense when the problem was manageable with human intervention. It doesn't anymore.

When it's time to transmit a well-formed appeal at the speed and volume the problem actually demands, there is nothing on the other side to receive it: no standardized channel, no machine-readable intake, no automated receiver. The payer sends denials at machine speed, and hospitals and health systems are forced to respond by fax.

That is not a staffing problem. It is a technology gap that payers have no incentive to close. Every appeal that stalls, expires, or disappears into a portal is a denial that holds. The friction they’ve created is the entire point.

The Right Problem to Solve

Fighting denials after they issue means you are already playing on the payer's terms. You’re never going to win the game if someone is constantly changing the rules. The only leverage is upstream.

We know, a clean claim doesn't get denied. Intelligence that understands payer policy before submission, that flags risk before adjudication, that informs how the claim gets constructed — that is where margin gets protected rather than recovered after the fact. The goal is not to build a faster fax machine. The goal is fewer denials in the first place. The way to achieve that goal is clean claims from the start.

What We're Building

We understand this problem because we are inside it right now.

The gap is technological, but it is also a matter of knowledge and insight. You have to understand how payers think, how policy gets applied, and where the risk actually lives in a claim before you can build something that addresses it. The technology without that context is just automation pointed in the wrong direction.

We are building the intelligence to know what to act on and how — not to chase denials faster but to stop more of them from happening. The payer's system learns and improves every week. Ours does too.

We are not waiting for payers to build a fair fight. We are working to remove the need for one.

Molly Maron

Jill of All Trades based out of Houston, Texas. I specialize in photography, videography, branding, and digital design. I am truly right brained-left brained, there's no doubt about it! I'm creative at my core, but think with a strong analytical mind. I look at everything from the eye of the beholder, and the users experience is more important to me than any thing else. I might be considered a "corporate junky" among my creative friends because I don't do things for the sake of creativity. I am a strategic thinker, with a creative flair, following the data, the analytics, the numbers, and the customer's voice in order to design, develop, and strategize.

http://www.mollyanne.co
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